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August 5, 2026, 5:44 PM · Policy Impact Report · 10 min read

The IRS explained the paid-leave premium method. It did not expand worker eligibility

On August 5, 2026, the IRS told employers how to calculate the Section 45S credit using paid-leave insurance premiums. A comparison of the [notice](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf), the [2025 law](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf) and the [current tax code](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) shows that the IRS clarified the claiming process but did not widen the worker eligibility rules.

By Cumulant Research

Hover or tap an underlined term to see its definition.

Stone sign reading Department of the Treasury and Internal Revenue Service outside the IRS building in Washington, D.C.
A sign outside the IRS headquarters in Washington, where the agency issued its interim rules for calculating the paid-leave insurance-premium credit. Photo: G. Edward Johnson, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

The quick version

  • Congress, not the IRS, created the optional six-month tenure threshold, the 20-hour weekly floor and the revised compensation test. [Public Law 119-21](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf)
  • The new notice lets employers rely on a premium-allocation method while proposed regulations are being developed. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)
  • Qualifying premiums can support a credit even when no qualifying employee takes leave during the year, provided the employer and coverage satisfy the other rules. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf) [Congressional Research Service](https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48611)
  • The credit is an employer tax incentive, not a federal guarantee that a worker will receive paid leave. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)
  • A rise in tax claims would not, by itself, prove that more workers gained coverage or took paid leave. Treasury's historical table reports claimant businesses and credit dollars, not workers. [Treasury claims table](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf)

Figure

Congress set the worker tests. The IRS explained the premium method

The notice implements the 2025 law without rewriting its eligibility boundaries

IssueCongressional ruleAugust 5 IRS actionBottom line
Minimum tenureOne year, or six months if the employer electsRepeated in the notice's backgroundThe shorter threshold came from Congress and remains optional
Customary hoursAt least 20 hours per weekRepeated in the notice's backgroundThe notice did not lower or remove the floor
CompensationPreceding-year pay is annualized and adjusted pro rata for part-time employeesNo new interpretation suppliedThe statutory compensation test still applies
Insurance premiumsAuthorized as an alternative credit baseCreditable-coverage and allocation rules suppliedThis is the notice's main operational contribution
No leave takenThe premium rate is determined without regard to whether leave occurredThe notice applies the premium rules without requiring a leave claimA qualifying premium can support a credit in a no-leave year

The compensation amendment is listed because hours and tenure alone do not determine whether a worker qualifies.

Source: Public Law 119-21, https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf; IRS Notice 2026-28, https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf; current Section 45S, https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S · Law enacted July 4, 2025; notice posted August 5, 2026

Why it matters

The guidance gives employers and paid-leave insurers a clearer path for allocating premiums and calculating a federal tax credit, potentially changing compliance work and claiming behavior. It does not itself establish that more workers have paid-leave coverage, can qualify for leave or will receive benefits. Source: https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf

The finding

By Cumulant Research | August 5, 2026.

The answer is no: the IRS did not expand which workers pass Section 45SSection 45SThe federal tax-code section that offers eligible employers a credit for qualifying paid family and medical leave wages or insurance premiums. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)'s eligibility tests on August 5. [Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf) explains how employers may calculate the credit from paid-leave insurance premiums, how they must separate eligible from ineligible coverage and how they may combine the premium and wage methods without claiming twice for the same benefit.

Congress had already made the consequential choices. Section 70304 of [Public Law 119-21](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf), enacted on July 4, 2025, made the credit permanent, authorized the premium methodpremium methodThe Section 45S calculation based on the qualifying portion of paid-leave insurance premiums paid or incurred by an employer. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf), created an optional six-month tenure threshold, added a 20-hour customary-workweek minimum and amended the compensation test. Those changes apply to taxable years beginning after December 31, 2025.

Figure

Congress set the worker tests. The IRS explained the premium method

The notice implements the 2025 law without rewriting its eligibility boundaries

IssueCongressional ruleAugust 5 IRS actionBottom line
Minimum tenureOne year, or six months if the employer electsRepeated in the notice's backgroundThe shorter threshold came from Congress and remains optional
Customary hoursAt least 20 hours per weekRepeated in the notice's backgroundThe notice did not lower or remove the floor
CompensationPreceding-year pay is annualized and adjusted pro rata for part-time employeesNo new interpretation suppliedThe statutory compensation test still applies
Insurance premiumsAuthorized as an alternative credit baseCreditable-coverage and allocation rules suppliedThis is the notice's main operational contribution
No leave takenThe premium rate is determined without regard to whether leave occurredThe notice applies the premium rules without requiring a leave claimA qualifying premium can support a credit in a no-leave year

The compensation amendment is listed because hours and tenure alone do not determine whether a worker qualifies.

Source: Public Law 119-21, https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf; IRS Notice 2026-28, https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf; current Section 45S, https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S · Law enacted July 4, 2025; notice posted August 5, 2026

The statute is the gate; the notice explains the turnstile

Think of worker eligibility as a gate and the tax calculation as the turnstile behind it. Congress set the gate's dimensions. The IRS notice explains how an employer with an insurance policy moves a qualifying cost through the turnstile. It does not move the gate. The [current text of Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) still contains the tenure, compensation and hours tests enacted by Congress.

This distinction matters because saying that the IRS expanded eligibility would assign the legal change to the wrong institution. The notice itself describes the six-month election and the 20-hour minimum as amendments made by the 2025 law, then turns to its own subject: guidance for the premium method. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

Figure

The law changed first. The administrative guidance followed

The sequence identifies which institution changed which rule

  1. 2025-07-04

    Congress changes Section 45S

    Public Law 119-21 makes the credit permanent, authorizes the premium method and changes worker tests.

  2. 2026-01-01

    New rules begin applying

    The amendments apply to taxable years beginning after December 31, 2025.

  3. 2026-08-05

    IRS posts Notice 2026-28

    The notice explains qualifying premiums, blended-premium allocation and the use of both calculation methods.

  4. 2026-10-16

    Requested comment deadline

    Treasury and the IRS ask for comments to inform proposed regulations.

Source: Public Law 119-21, https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf; IRS Notice 2026-28, https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf; IRS document directory, https://www.irs.gov/downloads/irs-drop · July 2025 through October 2026

What the IRS actually clarified

Under the wage methodwage methodThe Section 45S calculation based on qualifying wages paid while employees are on family or medical leave. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf), the credit is based on qualifying wages paid while an employee is on family or medical leave. Under the premium method, the base is the qualifying share of paid-leave insurance premiums paid or incurred during the employer's taxable yeartaxable yearThe annual accounting period for which an employer calculates and reports federal taxes.. Congress authorized both methods; the notice supplies the operating rules for the second one. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

The notice calls eligible insurance protection creditable coveragecreditable coverageThe part of an insurance policy funding a benefit that would qualify for the credit if it were paid under the wage method. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf). A premium is creditable only to the extent that it funds a benefit that would have qualified under the wage method. Coverage for an ineligible leave purpose, a nonqualifying worker, a benefit that would not count as Section 45S wages, or leave required or paid by a state or local government does not generate a premium-method credit. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

Figure

A premium qualifies only to the extent that it funds an eligible benefit

The notice applies the wage-method rules to the insurance coverage underneath the premium

FilterQuestionResult if the answer is no
Leave purposeWould the leave qualify as family or medical leave under Section 45S?That portion is not creditable
Worker statusWould the benefit cover a qualifying employee when the premium is paid or incurred?That portion is not creditable
Government mandateIs the covered leave neither required by state or local law nor paid by a state or local government?Mandated or government-paid leave is excluded from the credit calculation
Form of benefitWould the insurance benefit count as wages under Section 45S?That portion is not creditable

If one premium funds eligible and ineligible coverage, the employer must allocate it using objective criteria applied consistently and supported by contemporaneous records.

Source: IRS Notice 2026-28, https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf · Guidance published August 5, 2026

Many policies will not divide themselves neatly along those lines. If one payment funds qualifying and nonqualifying coverage, the notice labels it a blended premiumblended premiumA single premium that funds both creditable and noncreditable coverage. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf). The employer may use a reasonable allocation method, but the method must use objective criteria, fit the policy's terms, be supported by contemporaneous recordscontemporaneous recordsDocuments created at or near the time of a calculation or transaction rather than reconstructed much later. and be applied consistently during the taxable year and across businesses treated as one employer. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

Why a no-leave year can still produce a credit

The premium method breaks the old link between the annual credit base and the amount of qualifying leave actually taken. Section 45S now bases this method on qualifying premiums and says the payment rate used to calculate the credit percentage is determined without regard to whether qualifying employees took leave during the year. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)

The [Congressional Research Service](https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48611) summarizes the result directly: employers may apply qualifying premiums toward the credit regardless of whether an employee claimed leave under the policy that year. That does not eliminate the other conditions. The employer must still be eligible, and the premium must still fund coverage for workers and benefits that satisfy Section 45S. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

An employer may also use the wage method for some leave and the premium method for other leave. It may not claim both methods for the same funded benefit. If an insured benefit and the employer's general funds each pay part of one leave benefit, the notice permits the corresponding portions to be handled under different methods. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

The practical change

The premium method can make the credit less dependent on whether leave happens to occur during one tax year. That is a plausible administrative consequence of the rule, not evidence that more workers will receive paid leave.

The worker tests remain where Congress put them

A qualifying employeequalifying employeeA worker who passes Section 45S's tenure, preceding-year compensation and customary-hours tests. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) must satisfy three statutory tests. The worker must have been employed for at least one year unless the employer elects the shorter threshold of at least six months. The worker's preceding-year compensation must fall below a tax-code ceiling and is evaluated on an annualized basis with a pro-rata rule for part-time employees. The worker must also be customarily employed for at least 20 hours per week. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)

The shorter tenure rule is not automatic. It is an employer electionemployer electionAn optional tax choice made by an employer, such as choosing the six-month rather than the one-year tenure threshold. [Public Law 119-21](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf). A worker with seven months of service therefore does not become qualifying merely because the statute permits a six-month threshold; the employer must choose that treatment and the worker must pass the compensation and hours tests as well. [Public Law 119-21](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf)

Passing those worker tests is only one layer. An eligible employer generally needs a written policy providing at least two weeks of annual paid family and medical leave for qualifying employees who are not part-time, proportionate leave for qualifying part-time employees and a payment rate of at least 50 percent of normal wages. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)

Notice 2026-28 does not supply a new interpretation of the amended compensation language. That is one reason a headcount based only on tenure and usual hours would be incomplete: it would omit a statutory test and would also lack information about each employer's election and written policy. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf) [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)

Eligibility for a tax calculation is not a right to paid leave

Section 45S is an employer credit. It tells an eligible employereligible employerAn employer with a written paid-leave policy that meets Section 45S requirements, including minimum leave and wage-replacement rules. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) which costs may reduce its federal tax liability. It does not direct the federal government to pay benefits to an individual worker, and Section 45S expressly says that failing its employer-policy requirements does not create a penalty or liability beyond loss or recapture of the credit. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S)

That produces several layers between statutory worker eligibility and a benefit reaching a household. The employer must offer a qualifying written policy, choose whether to claim the credit, choose whether to use the six-month election, buy or maintain relevant insurance if using the premium method, and provide coverage that survives the notice's allocationallocationThe process of dividing a blended premium between the portion eligible for the credit and the portion that is not. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf) rules. A worker then must have a qualifying reason for leave and satisfy the policy's applicable terms. The statute and notice establish the tax rules; they do not demonstrate that these events occurred. [Current Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

The available claims data cannot measure worker access

Treasury's published historical table covers business returns with tax years ending from July 2020 through June 2021. It reports the number of claimant businesses and credit dollars by business revenue category and broad industry group. It does not report covered workers, workers taking leave, benefit recipients or weeks of paid leave. [Treasury claims table](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf)

Figure

Treasury's historical table counts businesses and dollars, not workers

The published data cannot show who received paid leave

Business revenueClaimant businessesCredit dollars, millionsCovered workers
Under $25 million770$3Not reported
$25 million to $1 billion280$9Not reported
Over $1 billion180$89Not reported
Total1,230$101Not reported

Cumulant added Treasury's goods-producing and service-industry cells within each revenue category. Treasury excluded sole proprietors because of data-reliability concerns.

Source: U.S. Treasury Office of Tax Analysis, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf · Claimant businesses and millions of dollars · Business returns with tax years ending from July 2020 through June 2021

Cumulant's sums produce 1,230 claimant businesses and $101 million in credits in the table. Businesses with more than $1 billion in revenue accounted for 180 of those claimants but $89 million of the credit dollars. Those figures describe where reported claims appeared; they cannot reveal how many workers were insured or received leave. [Treasury claims table](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf)

Market reaction is not economic effect

This analysis does not report a stock-price response or an observed change in paid-leave access. Even a future increase in Section 45S claims could reflect wider participation, a switch in accounting methods or both.

What would show whether the guidance mattered

A credible evaluation needs more than the total value of tax credits. To test whether participation expanded, researchers would need counts of claimant employers, qualifying policies and covered workers before and after implementation. To test whether employers merely changed calculation methods, they would need wage-method and premium-method claims reported separately alongside stable measures of policy coverage. The current Treasury table does not provide those worker or method-level fields. [Treasury claims table](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf)

Figure

Three explanations could sit behind higher premium-method claims

Tax data alone cannot distinguish them

ScenarioWhat could happenEvidence neededWhat claims alone cannot prove
Participation expandsMore employers adopt qualifying insured plansMore claimant employers, qualifying policies and covered workersThat workers took leave or received benefits
Accounting shiftsExisting plans move from wage claims to premium claimsPremium claims rise while policy and worker coverage remain broadly stableThat access widened
Friction dominatesAllocation and recordkeeping deter adoptionLow use plus evidence of administrative costs or allocation disputesWhether employers offer paid leave outside Section 45S

These are analytical scenarios, not forecasts or observed effects.

Source: IRS Notice 2026-28, https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf; current Section 45S, https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S; Treasury claims table, https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf · Evidence needed after implementation

Administrative evidence will matter too. The IRS specifically requested comments about blended-premium allocation, voluntary state-facilitated programs and the exception to the rule that connected businesses are treated as one employer. Those requests identify unresolved implementation questions; they are not proof that the questions will deter participation. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)

The narrow conclusion is therefore legal rather than economic. On August 5, the IRS made the premium method easier to apply by describing which coverage qualifies, how mixed premiums may be divided and how the two calculation methods interact. It did not expand the statutory pool of qualifying employees. Whether the clarification eventually broadens paid-leave coverage remains an empirical question for future claims, policy and worker data. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf) [Public Law 119-21](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf)

What to watch

  • Employer and insurer comments submitted before the October 16, 2026 deadline described in Notice 2026-28. Source: https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf
  • Proposed Treasury regulations that may replace or refine the interim premium-allocation rules. Source: https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf
  • Future claims data separating wider employer participation from a shift between the wage and premium calculation methods.
  • Worker-level evidence on coverage and leave use, which Treasury's historical Section 45S claims table does not provide. Source: https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf

How we did this

  • We confirmed the notice's publication date and timestamp in the [IRS document directory](https://www.irs.gov/downloads/irs-drop), then read all nine pages of [Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf).
  • We compared Section 70304 of [Public Law 119-21](https://www.congress.gov/119/plaws/publ21/PLAW-119publ21.pdf) with the [current text of Section 45S](https://uscode.house.gov/view.xhtml?edition=prelim&num=0&req=granuleid%3AUSC-prelim-title26-section45S) to identify which provisions were enacted by Congress.
  • We classified a rule as an IRS contribution only when the notice supplied an operating interpretation, allocation rule, reliance rule or method-coordination rule beyond recounting the statute.
  • We cross-checked the no-leave interpretation against the [Congressional Research Service's section-by-section summary](https://www.congress.gov/crs-product/R48611).
  • For the historical table, we added the goods-producing and service-industry cells published by the [Treasury Office of Tax Analysis](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf). We did not treat those aggregates as worker counts.
  • We separated enacted rules, administrative guidance, observed historical data and forward-looking scenarios. Scenarios are labeled as analytical possibilities rather than predictions.
  • We did not publish a worker headcount because the narrow question concerns the legal effect of the August 5 notice and because hours and tenure alone do not capture the statutory compensation test, employer elections, qualifying policies or actual benefit receipt.

What this cannot establish

  • Notice 2026-28 is interim guidance. It says taxpayers may rely on it before proposed regulations are issued, while future final regulations are expected to apply prospectively to later-paid wages and premiums. [IRS Notice 2026-28](https://www.irs.gov/pub/irs-drop/n-26-28.pdf)
  • The article does not provide tax advice for any particular employer, policy or worker.
  • The historical Treasury data concern returns with tax years ending from July 2020 through June 2021, before the 2025 amendments and the premium method. [Treasury claims table](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf)
  • Treasury's published table excludes sole proprietors because of data-reliability concerns and does not report workers, policies or leave recipients. [Treasury claims table](https://home.treasury.gov/system/files/131/Section-45S-Claims-Tables-10172023.pdf)
  • No causal estimate is offered for employer participation, insurance purchases, paid-leave access, leave-taking or worker income.
  • The article does not estimate how the six-month election, 20-hour floor and compensation amendment change the number of qualifying workers.
  • The analysis does not model state paid-leave programs, insurer pricing, employer tax positions or administrative costs.

This is AI-assisted analysis under stated assumptions; it is not investment advice or a price target. Figures are as of the publication date and trace to the cited sources; markets and disclosures change.

Sources

  1. 01Notice 2026-28: Guidance on the employer credit for paid family and medical leave under section 45S, Internal Revenue ServicePrimary
  2. 02IRS document directory, Internal Revenue ServicePrimary
  3. 03Public Law 119-21, Section 70304, United States CongressPrimary
  4. 0426 U.S.C. Section 45S: Employer credit for paid family and medical leave, Office of the Law Revision Counsel, U.S. House of RepresentativesPrimary
  5. 05Tax Provisions in P.L. 119-21, the FY2025 Reconciliation Law, Congressional Research ServiceSecondary
  6. 06Section 45S, Employer Credit for Paid Family and Medical Leave, Claims, Counts and Dollars, U.S. Department of the Treasury, Office of Tax AnalysisData
paid leavetax policylaborinsuranceSection 45SIRSdata journalismsection-45sUnited States

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