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Cumulant

Methods

From question to auditable result.

Cumulant's workflow is designed to make research inspectable. Software agents help retrieve evidence, write and test code, challenge findings, and preserve research state.

Deterministic systems verify estimates, citations, artifacts, and progression gates. Human researchers define the question, review the design, interpret the evidence, and decide what becomes public.

Stages

  1. 01

    Frame

    Define one specific and falsifiable research question.

  2. 02

    Map

    Review prior literature, methods, disagreements, and unresolved gaps.

  3. 03

    Retrieve

    Acquire data and record its source, coverage, and provenance.

  4. 04

    Validate

    Check missingness, duplicates, alignment, transformations, and sample construction.

  5. 05

    Declare

    Specify the main outcome, assumptions, model, exclusions, and robustness plan.

  6. 06

    Analyze

    Run deterministic code and save machine-readable outputs.

  7. 07

    Challenge

    Use critical review to search for leakage, weak identification, alternative explanations, and unsupported claims.

  8. 08

    Stress-test

    Test alternate samples, variables, models, windows, costs, assumptions, and out-of-sample behavior.

  9. 09

    Verify

    Trace numerical claims and citations to saved evidence.

  10. 10

    Reproduce

    Rebuild results from preserved inputs, code, seeds, and configurations.

  11. 11

    Review

    Require human evaluation of the design, interpretation, limitations, and release decision.

  12. 12

    Release

    Publish a versioned output with methods, code, data status, limitations, and correction history.

Phases

Define
  • Frame
  • Map
Build
  • Retrieve
  • Validate
  • Declare
Interrogate
  • Analyze
  • Challenge
  • Stress-test
Confirm
  • Verify
  • Reproduce
  • Review
  • Release