July 5, 2026, 11:22 AM · Data Story · 13 min read
The stablecoin yield ban didn't move the interest. It locked in who already keeps it.
Congress barred stablecoin issuers from paying holders any of the roughly $3.80 that every $100 of reserves now earns each year. This week's 140-company OUSD launch and the stalled CLARITY Act show the money flowing where it already flowed, up the chain, to the distributors, with the one law that could have changed that now forbidding it. The holder's legal share from the issuer is fixed at zero.
By Cumulant Research
Hover or tap an underlined term to see its definition.

The quick version
- The GENIUS Act bans stablecoin issuers, not exchanges or platforms, from paying holders interest. The roughly 3.8% earned on reserves does not vanish; it flows wherever distribution contracts send it, and the law outlaws the one competitive response that could have redirected it: issuers bidding yield back to holders.
- The split predates the ban, and the ban froze it. Circle's own SEC filing shows distributors took about 60 cents of each revenue dollar in 2024, $908 million to Coinbase alone, before GENIUS existed. In Q4 2025, after the ban, the share was still about 60 cents. The law entrenched an existing arrangement; it did not create it.
- The new OUSD consortium (Visa, Mastercard, Stripe, BlackRock, Google and 140+ others) is the endpoint of the trend: a coin designed to pay nearly all reserve income to the participating companies, announced June 30. Circle's stock fell about 16% that day.
- The one leak that reaches ordinary holders, exchange rewards like Coinbase's 3.5% APY, now limited to paying Coinbase One subscribers, is the exact loophole an OCC proposed rule, the bank lobby and the CLARITY Act fight are all moving to close.
- History ran a version of this experiment: Regulation Q suppressed deposit interest from 1933, and money market funds grew roughly 45-fold from 1977 to 1981 as yield escaped into the unbanned wrapper. But the analogy breaks in one crucial place, Tether pays holders nothing and still commands about 58% of the market, which is why the pressure this time runs toward closing loopholes, not opening them.
Figure
Who keeps the interest on stablecoin reserves
Distribution costs as a share of total revenue and reserve income, by model. In every model the holder's legal share from the issuer is $0.
Circle bars divide reported distribution, transaction and other costs by total revenue and reserve income: $1.01B of $1.68B in 2024 (60.3%) and $461M of $770M in Q4 2025 (59.9%). The share is essentially flat, the ban entrenched the split; it did not enlarge it. Tether's 0% is an inference: its attestations disclose income but no revenue-sharing agreements, and none have been reported. OUSD is shown as designed, 'nearly all' reserve earnings to partners, minus an undisclosed management fee, and is not yet live.
Source: Circle Form S-1 (SEC EDGAR); Circle Q4 2025 financial results; Tether Q1 2026 attestation; Fortune and Blockhead reporting on OUSD design · % of total revenue and reserve income paid to distributors · 2024, 2026
Why it matters
Roughly $3.80 per $100 of stablecoin reserves is earned in interest every year, and this week's events show that money being contractually locked in for payment giants and exchanges rather than the people actually holding the coins. For markets, the OUSD launch repriced Circle's franchise overnight and signals that distribution power, not issuance, captures stablecoin economics, a dynamic the yield ban legally entrenches. For consumers, the last remaining trickle of yield through exchange rewards is being squeezed from three directions at once, meaning holders of digital dollars, like holders of checking-account dollars before them, may be permanently cut out of the float. The unresolved CLARITY Act fight will determine whether that outcome is codified.
A ban, a launch, and a missed deadline
On Tuesday, June 30, more than 140 companies announced a new digital dollar. The roster behind OUSD, short for Open USD, reads like a map of the payments economy: Visa, Mastercard, American Express, Stripe, BlackRock, Google, Shopify, Coinbase, plus banks from BNY to Standard Chartered. The coin will be run by an independent company called Open StandardOpen StandardThe independent company set up to govern and operate OUSD on behalf of the consortium, led by interim CEO Zach Abrams., and its economic design is the interesting part: partners collect nearly all of the interest earned on the reservesreservesThe pool of real assets, mostly short-term US government debt, that a stablecoin issuer holds so every token can be redeemed for $1. backing the token, after a small management fee. Circle, whose USDCUSDCThe second-largest stablecoin, issued by Circle, with about $73 billion in circulation. stablecoinstablecoinA digital token designed to always be worth $1, backed by real dollars and safe investments held by the company that issues it. is the incumbent these firms currently distribute, saw its stock fall about 16% that day.
Four days later, on July 4, the Senate began its summer recess without voting on the CLARITY ActCLARITY ActThe broader crypto market-structure bill (H.R. 3633), passed by the House in July 2025 and now stalled in the Senate; one of the fights holding it up is whether to extend the interest ban from issuers to exchanges and platforms., the broad crypto market-structure bill the House passed a year ago. The White House's crypto adviser had publicly targeted Independence Day for passage, 'a tremendous birthday present for America,' as he put it in May. Among the fights that kept the present unwrapped: whether anyone besides the issuerissuerThe company that creates a stablecoin and holds its reserves, Circle issues USDC, Tether issues USDT. may pay stablecoin holders interest.
Both events trace back to one sentence of law. The GENIUS ActGENIUS ActThe US stablecoin law signed July 18, 2025; among other rules, it bans issuers from paying any interest or rewards to people for holding their stablecoins., signed July 18, 2025, says a stablecoin issuer may not pay 'the holder of any payment stablecoin any form of interest or yieldyieldThe income an investment produces, expressed as a percentage per year, like the interest rate on a savings account. (whether in cash, tokens, or other consideration) solely in connection with the holding, use, or retention of such payment stablecoin.' Note who is named: the issuer. Not the exchange where you keep the coin, not the app you spend it from. This article asks one narrow question: when the law fixes the holder's share of stablecoin interest at zero, where does the interest actually go, and did this week just show us the answer?
Figure
Who keeps the interest on stablecoin reserves
Distribution costs as a share of total revenue and reserve income, by model. In every model the holder's legal share from the issuer is $0.
Circle bars divide reported distribution, transaction and other costs by total revenue and reserve income: $1.01B of $1.68B in 2024 (60.3%) and $461M of $770M in Q4 2025 (59.9%). The share is essentially flat, the ban entrenched the split; it did not enlarge it. Tether's 0% is an inference: its attestations disclose income but no revenue-sharing agreements, and none have been reported. OUSD is shown as designed, 'nearly all' reserve earnings to partners, minus an undisclosed management fee, and is not yet live.
Source: Circle Form S-1 (SEC EDGAR); Circle Q4 2025 financial results; Tether Q1 2026 attestation; Fortune and Blockhead reporting on OUSD design · % of total revenue and reserve income paid to distributors · 2024, 2026
Follow the $3.80
A stablecoin is a digital token engineered to always be worth one dollar. The issuer takes your dollar, gives you a token, and parks the dollar in reserves, overwhelmingly short-term US government debt, the Treasury bills that currently pay around 4% a year. The token in your wallet pays you nothing. The T-bills behind it pay the issuer constantly. That gap is the entire business.
The gap is not small. Circle's fourth-quarter 2025 results, published in February, show $733 million of reserve income in a single quarter, earned on average USDC circulation of $76.2 billion, a disclosed 'reserve return ratereserve return rateCircle's disclosed measure of the annualized interest its reserves earn as a share of average USDC in circulation, 3.8% in late 2025.' of 3.8% a year. In plain terms: every $100 of USDC in the world generates about $3.80 of interest annually, and the person actually holding the $100 has a legal claim, from the issuer, to exactly none of it. It is the business model of the old checking account: your balance pays zero while the institution invests it at market rates. Finance calls the invested balance 'floatfloatMoney sitting in customers' balances that a company gets to invest and earn interest on before it is spent or withdrawn..'
Figure
The pot of money in one quarter
$733M
Circle's reserve income in Q4 2025 alone
On average USDC circulation of $76.2B, a disclosed reserve return rate of 3.8%. Every $100 of USDC generates about $3.80 a year; the holder's legal share from the issuer is $0.
Source: Circle Q4 2025 financial results · USD · Q4 2025
The GENIUS Act did not create this arrangement, checking accounts, gift cards and PayPal balances have always worked this way. What the Act did was outlaw the one competitive force that could unwind it. In a normal market, a new issuer could bid for customers by handing back the $3.80, the way high-yield savings accounts bid for deposits. Section 4(a)(11) makes that bid illegal. The float is not just profitable now; it is legally protected from yield competition at the issuer level.
No permitted payment stablecoin issuer... shall pay the holder of any payment stablecoin any form of interest or yield.
The split existed before the ban
So where does the $3.80 go? For USDC, the answer is in Circle's own IPO paperwork. The S-1S-1The registration document a company files with the SEC before going public, which discloses its finances in detail. it filed with the SEC in April 2025 shows total revenue and reserve income of $1.68 billion for 2024, more than 99% of it interest on reserves, against 'distribution, transaction and other costs' of $1.01 billion. Sixty cents of every dollar the reserves earned was paid out to the companies that put USDC in front of users. Coinbase alone received $907.9 million.
The mechanics matter. Under the agreement described in the S-1, Coinbase keeps 100% of the reserve income earned on USDC sitting on its own platform, and splits the income on all remaining USDC roughly 50-50 with Circle. That gives Coinbase a straightforward incentive: pull coins onto its platform. It has worked, by the first quarter of 2026, Coinbase reported that more than a quarter of all USDC in circulation sat in its products, and that it captures about half of the total economics of the coin.
Here is the number that reframes the yield ban: in the fourth quarter of 2025, two quarters after GENIUS became law, Circle's distribution costs were $461 million against $770 million of total revenue and reserve income. That is 59.9%, statistically indistinguishable from 2024's 60.3%. The ban did not push the distributors' share up. It did not need to. It froze a split that already sent the majority of the interest up the chain, and removed the legal mechanism, issuers competing on yield, by which holders could ever have clawed it back.
Description, not causation
Two data points, one before the ban and one after, show the distributordistributorA company that puts stablecoins in front of users, an exchange like Coinbase or a payments firm like Stripe, and gets paid a share of reserve income for doing so. share holding at about 60%. They cannot show what the share would have been in a world where issuers could pay holders, only that the ban coincided with the split staying exactly where it was.
OUSD: distribution capture, by design
If the interest flows to whoever controls distribution, the logical endgame is for the distributors to cut out the issuer and keep the whole stream. That is a fair one-sentence description of OUSD. The consortiumconsortiumA group of companies that jointly own and govern a shared venture instead of one firm controlling it.'s design, per the launch coverage, pays 'nearly all' of the reserve interest to partner companies after Open Standard's management fee; Fortune's softer phrasing is 'most.' Minting and redeeming will be free, the coin is slated to go live later in 2026, and the venture is led by interim CEO Zach Abrams, who co-founded the stablecoin platform Bridge that Stripe bought for $1.1 billion. Notably, Coinbase, Circle's principal distributor, is on the OUSD partner list too.
Read Circle's 16% one-day stock drop carefully. It is a market reaction, not an economic effect: what got repriced was not the interest on anyone's reserves but investors' estimate of Circle's power to keep its share of that interest when its distributors can issue a coin of their own. The $3.80 per $100 is unchanged. The fight over which balance sheet it lands on is what moved.
One caution before extrapolating OUSD to dominance: this has been tried. USDG, a Paxos-issued consortium coin launched in November 2024, shares roughly 97% of its economics with partners including Robinhood and Kraken, and after twenty months it holds about $3 billion in circulation, a rounding error next to Tether's $183 billion. OUSD's backers are categorically bigger. But USDG's stall despite generous yield-sharing is evidence that distributor economics alone do not conjure adoption.
Figure
Consortium coins have a weak track record
Stablecoin supply in circulation, mid-2026
USDT is Tether's attested circulation as of March 31, 2026 ($183.4B). USDG launched November 2024 with a yield-sharing pitch, Paxos says about 97% of the economics go to partners including Robinhood and Kraken, and stayed small; its stall despite sharing yield complicates the claim that distributor economics alone drive adoption. OUSD is announced but not yet live.
Source: Tether Q1 2026 attestation (BDO Italia); Circle Q4 2025 results and CoinMarketCap; CoinDesk, June 30, 2026 · $ billions · June 2026
The one leak, and three moves to plug it
There is one channel through which ordinary holders still receive something: platform 'rewards.' Because GENIUS names only issuers, Coinbase pays USDC holders on its platform a 3.5% annual reward, funded, in economic substance, by the distribution payments it receives from Circle. Even this leak has narrowed: since December 15, 2025, only subscribers to Coinbase OneCoinbase OneCoinbase's paid monthly subscription; since December 2025, only its members earn the exchange's USDC rewards., the exchange's paid membership, earn it; free users get nothing.
How much escapes? In the first quarter of 2026 Coinbase booked $305 million of stablecoin revenue, $1.22 billion annualized, against $19 billion of average USDC balances on its platform. If every one of those dollars earned the full 3.5%, the payout would be about $665 million a year. That is a deliberate overestimate, since most balances no longer qualify. Even so, the platform keeps at least 45 cents of every stablecoin dollar it collects; the true figure is higher.
Figure
Even inside the loophole, the platform keeps at least 45 cents of every dollar
Coinbase's annualized stablecoin revenue vs. a hypothetical ceiling on what it could be paying holders in USDC rewards
The rewards bar is a hypothetical maximum: it assumes every USDC dollar on the platform earned the full 3.5% APY. The true payout is far lower, since December 15, 2025 only Coinbase One subscribers earn rewards, and Coinbase does not disclose the actual figure. The bases also differ in Coinbase's favor as evidence: revenue includes Coinbase's share of income on USDC held off its platform, while rewards are paid only on platform balances, so the true keep-rate is higher still.
Source: Coinbase Q1 2026 shareholder letter; Forbes, May 20, 2026 ($305M stablecoin revenue, $19B average USDC balances on platform, 3.5% headline APY) · $ millions per year · Annualized from Q1 2026
And that remaining leak is precisely what the plumbing crews are working on, on three fronts at once:
- Regulators: on February 25, 2026 the OCC proposed a rule creating a 'rebuttable presumption' that any arrangement in which an issuer coordinates with an affiliate or 'related third party' to pay holders yield is banned interest, the issuer must prove to the OCC that the scheme is not evasion. The comment period closed May 1; the FDIC issued a parallel proposal in April. Neither is final.
- The bank lobby: the American Bankers Association and 52 state bankers associations have urged Congress to stop 'issuers and affiliated platforms' from offering yield, and the Bank Policy Institute argues platform rewards funded by issuer distribution payments are 'a mere pass-thru from the issuer to the token holder.' More than 3,200 bankers signed a Senate letter to the same effect.
- Congress: the compromise on the table in the CLARITY negotiations, from Senators Tillis and Alsobrooks, would ban intermediaries from paying deposit-like yield on passive stablecoin holdings while allowing rewards tied to activity. Banks object that activity-based rewards rebuild the loophole under another name.
Honesty requires a caveat about July 4: the yield question is one of the fights that stalled CLARITY, but reporting attributes the missed target at least as much to a standoff over ethics provisions aimed at the Trump family's crypto ventures. What matters for this article is the direction of every live proposal: not one of them would move interest toward holders. Each would formalize that it stays upstream.
1933-1986: the first yield ban, and how it ended
The United States has banned interest before. The Banking Act of June 16, 1933 outlawed interest on checking deposits, and the Federal Reserve's Regulation QRegulation QThe Depression-era US rule that banned interest on checking accounts and capped rates on savings accounts; the caps ended in 1986 and the checking-account ban in 2011., issued that August, capped what banks could pay on savings. For four decades the caps mostly sat below market rates without much drama. Then inflation arrived. By 1979-1981, Treasury bills yielded double digits, the 1981 average was about 14%, while Regulation Q held passbook savings near 5%.
Savers found the wrapper the ban did not cover: money market mutual funds, which pool cash into T-bills and pass the interest through. Federal Reserve flow-of-funds data show fund assets going from $3.9 billion at the end of 1977 to $186.3 billion at the end of 1981, a roughly 45-fold rise in four years, and $220 billion by end-1982.
Figure
What happened last time interest was banned
Money market mutual fund assets while Regulation Q capped bank deposit rates
From $3.9B at end-1977 to $186.3B at end-1981, roughly a 45-fold rise, as double-digit T-bill yields flowed through the wrapper the caps did not cover. DIDMCA (March 1980) began phasing the caps out; Garn-St Germain (October 1982) let banks pay market rates, and fund assets fell in 1983 for the first time.
Source: Federal Reserve Z.1 flow of funds, Table L.121, annuals 1975-1984 (same series as FRED MMMFFAQ027S) · $ billions, year-end · 1977, 1982
Congress capitulated in two steps. The 1980 DIDMCADIDMCAThe Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980, which ordered a six-year phase-out of the caps on savings-account interest rates. ordered the savings caps phased out within six years. Then the Garn-St Germain ActGarn-St Germain ActThe 1982 law, signed October 15, in which Congress let banks offer market-rate money market deposit accounts, legalizing the yield savers had already fled to., signed October 15, 1982, authorized money market deposit accounts, bank accounts with no rate ceiling, which went live that December. The money promptly started coming home: 1983 was the first year money fund assets fell. The last piece, the 1933 checking-account ban itself, survived until Dodd-FrankDodd-FrankThe 2010 financial-reform law; among many changes, it repealed the 1933 ban on paying interest on checking accounts, effective July 2011. repealed it effective July 2011. The full arc took 78 years, but the direction was set the moment savers had somewhere to go: yield suppressed by law eventually escaped, and the law was rewritten to follow it.
Figure
Two bans, ninety years apart
Jun 16, 1933
Banking Act signed; Regulation Q follows
Interest on checking deposits banned; the Fed's Regulation Q, issued that August, caps savings rates.
1977-1981
Money market funds explode
Assets grow from about $4B to about $186B as yield escapes through the unbanned wrapper.
Mar 31, 1980
DIDMCA orders the caps unwound
Congress mandates a six-year phase-out of savings-rate ceilings, complete by 1986.
Oct 15, 1982
Garn-St Germain signed
Banks get market-rate money market deposit accounts (available that December), Congress legalizes the yield savers had already fled to.
Jul 21, 2011
Dodd-Frank repeal takes effect
The 2010 law's Section 627 ends the 1933 ban on checking-account interest, one year after signing.
Jul 18, 2025
GENIUS Act signed
Section 4(a)(11) bans stablecoin issuers from paying holders any form of interest or yield. Exchanges and platforms are not named.
Feb 25, 2026
OCC proposes closing the affiliate route
A proposed rule would presume issuer-coordinated reward schemes are banned interest unless the issuer proves otherwise.
Jun 30, 2026
OUSD announced
140+ firms unveil a stablecoin designed to pay nearly all reserve income to the distributing companies. Circle's stock falls about 16%.
Jul 4, 2026
CLARITY misses the White House's target
The Senate recesses without a vote; who may pay stablecoin yield is among the unresolved fights, alongside ethics provisions.
Source: Federal Reserve History (federalreservehistory.org); Congress.gov (Public Law 96-221, Public Law 97-320, Public Law 111-203, Public Law 119-27, H.R. 3633); Federal Register; CoinDesk; Fortune · 1933, 2026
Why the rerun points the other way
The 1970s analogy is seductive: another interest ban, another wrapper, tokenized Treasury funds, which put money-fund shares on a blockchain and pass yield through legally, waiting to absorb the flight. The Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee has already gamed out the stakes, estimating in April 2025 that about $120 billion of T-bills sat behind stablecoins and projecting a possible $2 trillion market by 2028.
But the escape is not happening, and one number explains why the analogy breaks: Tether. USDTUSDTThe largest stablecoin, issued by Tether, with about $183 billion in circulation, roughly 58% of the market. pays holders nothing, discloses no revenue-sharing with anyone, kept $1.04 billion of profit in the first quarter of 2026 alone, and holds about $183 billion in circulation, roughly 58% of the $320 billion market. In 1980, deposits fled to whoever paid yield. In 2026, the largest pool of stablecoin money demonstrably does not care. People hold USDT for dollar access and utility, not return. Meanwhile the yield-passing wrapper remains tiny: all tokenized Treasury funds together hold about $14.8 billion, BlackRock's BUIDL, the largest, about $2.2 billion, against $320 billion of stablecoins.
That difference flips the political economy. Regulation Q died because savers voted with their feet and Congress legalized where they had already gone, Garn-St Germain ratified a fait accompli. Today the feet are not moving, the incumbents profiting from the float include the largest banks and card networks via OUSD, and every pending rule tightens rather than loosens the ban. The pressure runs toward closing the Coinbase-shaped leak, not toward a Garn-St Germain for stablecoin holders.
So the answer to the narrow question is visible in one week of news. The interest on stablecoin reserves, roughly $3.80 a year per $100, some $12 billion annually across a $320 billion market at current rates, never went away and never will while T-bills pay. Congress fixed the holder's share from the issuer at zero; Circle's filings show about 60 cents of each interest dollar already flowing to distributors before and after the ban, unchanged; OUSD is 140 companies organizing to collect nearly all of it; and the CLARITY fight is over whether the last few cents that reach holders through platform rewards should be shut off too. The ban did not eliminate the float. It decided, by omission and now perhaps by design, who keeps it.
What to watch
- Whether the Senate takes up the CLARITY Act after recess and how the Tillis-Alsobrooks compromise on intermediary yield, banning passive rewards but allowing activity-based ones, survives bank-lobby objections.
- Finalization of the OCC's proposed 'rebuttable presumption' rule (comment period closed May 1) and the parallel FDIC proposal, which would treat affiliate-paid rewards as banned issuer interest.
- OUSD's actual launch later in 2026 and whether its adoption diverges from Paxos's USDG, the earlier consortium coin that stalled at about $3 billion despite sharing 97% of economics with partners.
- Circle's distribution-cost ratio and Coinbase's stablecoin revenue in coming quarters, as signals of whether the roughly 60% distributor share shifts once partners can issue a coin of their own.
How we did this
- Every figure was verified against a primary source where one exists: SEC EDGAR filings (Circle Form S-1), Circle and Coinbase earnings releases, Tether's BDO-attested Q1 2026 report, enacted statutes on Congress.gov, the Federal Register, and Federal Reserve Z.1 flow-of-funds tables read directly from the Fed's published PDF.
- Distributor shares are computed as 'distribution, transaction and other costs' divided by 'total revenue and reserve income' from Circle's disclosures: $1.011B / $1.676B = 60.3% for 2024 and $461M / $770M = 59.9% for Q4 2025. An earlier draft's 63% figure divided by reserve income alone and was corrected.
- The Coinbase keep-rate floor annualizes Q1 2026 stablecoin revenue ($305M x 4 = $1.22B) and compares it to a constructed ceiling on rewards (3.5% APY x $19B average platform balances = $665M); because rewards are now limited to Coinbase One subscribers, the ceiling overstates actual payouts and the true keep-rate exceeds 45%.
- The 1977-1982 money market fund series comes from Federal Reserve Z.1 Table L.121 (annuals 1975-1984), the same series FRED publishes as MMMFFAQ027S; values are rounded to the nearest billion in the chart.
- Market reaction (Circle's share-price drop) is reported separately from economic effect (the size and routing of reserve income), and the two-data-point comparison of distributor shares is framed as descriptive, not causal.
- Where sources conflicted, Circle's one-day decline (reported between 13% intraday and 17.6% at the close) and USDT circulation (a CoinDesk piece cited $145B against Tether's attested $183.4B), the primary or attested figure was used and the conflict is disclosed.
What this cannot establish
- OUSD is announced, not live. Its issuer entity, licensing framework, blockchain lineup and management fee are undisclosed, and the 'nearly all' revenue-sharing description comes from launch reporting (Fortune says 'most'); the design could change before launch.
- Tether's 0% distribution share is an inference from the absence of any disclosed or reported revenue-sharing agreement, not from an affirmative disclosure; Tether's attestations are accountant-reviewed snapshots, not full audits.
- Coinbase does not disclose its actual USDC rewards payout; the $665 million figure is a constructed ceiling, and the 'at least 45%' keep-rate is a floor, not an estimate.
- The before-and-after comparison of Circle's distributor share (60.3% in 2024 vs 59.9% in Q4 2025) compares a full year to a single quarter and cannot establish what the split would have been without the ban.
- The CLARITY Act's stall is attributable at least as much to a dispute over ethics provisions concerning the Trump family's crypto ventures as to the yield fight; this article focuses on the yield question and does not weigh the two causes.
- The Regulation Q analogy is imperfect: stablecoins are not insured deposits, the 1979-1982 escape happened at double-digit interest rates versus roughly 4% today, and tokenized Treasury funds face access restrictions (minimums, accreditation) that 1970s money funds did not.
This is AI-assisted analysis under stated assumptions; it is not investment advice or a price target. Figures are as of the publication date and trace to the cited sources; markets and disclosures change.
Sources
- 01Public Law 119-27 (GENIUS Act), Section 4(a)(11), Congress.govPrimary
- 02The Stablecoin Yield Debate (IF13174), Congressional Research ServicePrimary
- 03Circle Internet Group Form S-1, SEC EDGARPrimary
- 04Circle Reports 4th Quarter & Fiscal Year 2025 Financial Results, CirclePrimary
- 05Coinbase Q1 2026 Financial Results, Coinbase Investor RelationsPrimary
- 06Tether Posts $1.04B Q1 2026 Profit, Reaches All-Time-High $8.23B Reserve Buffer, TetherPrimary
- 07Earn rewards by holding USDC on Coinbase, CoinbasePrimary
- 08ABA, 52 State Bankers Associations Urge Congress to Close Stablecoin Interest Loophole, American Bankers AssociationPrimary
- 09Closing the Payment of Interest Loophole for Stablecoins, Bank Policy InstitutePrimary
- 10Flow of Funds Accounts of the United States, Annuals 1975-1984, Table L.121, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemData
- 11Public Law 96-221 (DIDMCA), 94 Stat. 132, Congress.govPrimary
- 12Public Law 97-320 (Garn-St Germain), 96 Stat. 1469, Congress.govPrimary
- 13Federal Reserve issues final rule to repeal Regulation Q, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve SystemPrimary
- 14Prohibition Against Payment of Interest on Demand Deposits (final rule), Federal RegisterPrimary
- 15Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee quarterly refunding materials (Digital Money, April 30, 2025), U.S. Department of the TreasuryPrimary
- 16Stripe, Visa and over 140 other businesses to launch stablecoin to rival Tether and Circle, FortuneSecondary
- 17Circle (CRCL) selloff may be 'overreaction' but Open USD faces adoption test, CoinDeskSecondary
- 18Visa, Stripe, BlackRock Among 140 Firms Backing New Open USD Stablecoin, BlockheadSecondary
- 19Open Standard Unveils Open USD, a Bank- and Tech-Backed Stablecoin, The DefiantSecondary
- 20Circle Stock Falls 15% as New Rival Stablecoin Targets USDC's Enterprise Users, Yahoo FinanceSecondary
- 21The GENIUS Act Stablecoin Yield Ban Has A Coinbase-Shaped Hole, ForbesSecondary
- 22Coinbase (COIN) earnings Q1 2026, CNBCSecondary
- 23Coinbase paywalls USDC rewards as Fed cuts interest rates, DL NewsSecondary
- 24Circle, Coinbase, and the Prohibition on Interest Under the GENIUS Act, CLS Blue Sky Blog (Columbia Law School)Academic
- 25Circle reports $770 million Q4 revenue as USDC circulation reaches $75 billion, The BlockSecondary
- 26White House targets July 4 for Clarity Act passage, says crypto adviser Patrick Witt, CoinDeskSecondary
- 27Senators try to unlock stalled crypto Clarity Act with compromise on stablecoin yield, CoinDeskSecondary
- 28CLARITY Act Stalls: Why Senate's August Recess Puts US Crypto Rules at Risk, The Crypto TimesSecondary
- 29OCC Proposed Rule Under the GENIUS Act: Six Key Takeaways, Paul HastingsSecondary
- 30Stablecoin Interest, Yield, and Rewards: OCC Proposes Sweeping Regulations Under the GENIUS Act, Perkins CoieSecondary
- 31New Global Dollar Stablecoin Backed by Robinhood, Kraken, Paxos and Other Crypto Heavies, CoinDeskSecondary
- 32USDG Stablecoin Group Eyes Hundreds of Partners Attracted by Yield, CoinDeskSecondary
- 33Stablecoin Market Crosses $320B as Tether USDT Dominance Falls 2.5% in 2026, Bitcoin.com NewsSecondary
- 34Tether reports $1.04B Q1 profit as reserves climb to $191.8b, crypto.newsSecondary
- 35Banking Act of 1933 (Glass-Steagall), Federal Reserve HistorySecondary
- 36Interest Rate Controls (Regulation Q), Federal Reserve HistorySecondary
- 37Garn-St Germain Depository Institutions Act of 1982, Federal Reserve HistorySecondary
- 38Remarks on Signing the Depository Institutions Deregulation and Monetary Control Act of 1980, The American Presidency ProjectPrimary
- 39Economic Report of the President 2011, Table B-73: Bond Yields and Interest Rates, 1933-2010, U.S. Government Publishing OfficeData
- 40Tokenized U.S. Treasuries, RWA.xyzData
- 41BlackRock USD Institutional Digital Liquidity Fund (BUIDL), RWA.xyzData
- 42USD Coin (USDC) price and circulation, CoinMarketCapData
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On 20 May 2026 the Fed voted 6-1 to propose a stripped-down 'Payment Account' that would give stablecoin issuers direct access to its plumbing. Crypto voices called it the end of commercial banking; our arithmetic finds the same proposal's two other rules, no interest and a $1 billion cap, make large-scale deposit flight mathematically impossible. The real erosion is smaller, and runs through a different pipe.

The $73 Lottery Ticket: More Than Half of the TRUMP Coin's $3.81 Billion in Losses Were on the Books by Day 19
A Nansen analysis published July 4 counts 988,905 wallets down a combined $3.81 billion on the TRUMP memecoin, four days after the president's financial disclosure reported $636 million in coin-linked license income. The timing undercuts the claim that the 2026 crypto downturn did the damage: more than half of the losses were already recorded by day 19 of the token's life, and the documented Trump-linked take, up to roughly $960 million across two accounting systems, is about four times what the entire trading crowd netted on paper.

MiCA's deadline was sold as a doorway to all of Europe. The arithmetic says it is a turnstile.
On 1 July 2026 the EU's MiCA transitional period ends with no extension, and Binance has confirmed it will wind down most EU services after failing to secure a license in time. Cumulant finds that only about one in six already-registered crypto firms converted to the new EU-wide license, a survival rate that looks as harsh as the UK's tough FCA regime. But the resemblance is largely an arithmetic accident: French data suggest the thinning came mostly from firms that never applied, and among firms that did apply, MiCA's pass rate looks higher, not lower, than the FCA's.
