Replication
Does the Equity Premium Survive Skeptical Inference?
A replication testing whether a widely cited finding holds under stricter assumptions and new data.
Status
- Replication
Version
- Replication
Date
- 2026-02
Authors
- Aryan Patel
Abstract
A replication that re-examines a widely cited finding under stricter assumptions and new data, asking how much of the original result survives skeptical inference. The project documents what holds, what weakens, and where the original conclusion depends on specific choices.
Research question
Does a widely cited finding hold under stricter assumptions and new data?
Methods
- Replication
- Stricter inference
- New-data testing
- Sensitivity analysis
Data
Public market and factor data; provenance recorded.
Results
Replication in progress. No completed findings are claimed; the work is not published.
Limitations
Findings will be specific to the replication design and the data used.
Code availability
- Internal. Release forthcoming.
Data availability
- Public sources.
AI disclosure
- AI agents assisted with literature retrieval, code generation, analysis support, critique, and drafting. Deterministic systems produced and verified the estimates. A human researcher approved the question, design, interpretation, and release.
Reproduction status
- Internal validation.